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Top stories

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Authors

13

7 months ago

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Macron, Merz Lead European Condemnation of Kyiv Strikes That Kill 14 Civilians

Authors

21

7 months ago

Macron Vows to Finish 2027 Term as Franco-German Summit Backs Ukraine

Macron Vows to Finish 2027 Term as Franco-German Summit Backs Ukraine

Authors

16

7 months ago

Russia Says Forces Gain 600–700 km² Monthly in Ukraine Advance

Authors

4

7 months ago

Kremlin Says Putin to Meet Iran’s Pezeshkian, Asian Leaders in China

Authors

7

7 months ago

EU Weighs Expanding Ukraine Training Mission, Leaves Troop Deployments to Members

Authors

5

7 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Portugal’s President Calls Trump ‘Russian Asset,’ Pressuring NATO Unity

Authors

10

7 months ago

Moscow Rejects Western Security Plan for Ukraine, Warns Against NATO Troops

Authors

12

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Ukraine

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

22.37%chance

553262179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9333

5985

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Jan 10, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.55%chance

544220338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3349

1433

How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

Jul 2, 9:32 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

673150599

OptionProbability

Ukraine ceding more than Crimea to Russia

No cease-fire of 6 months

Pre-2014: Crimea controlled by Ukraine

No Ukraine anymore

No Russia anymore

Pre-2022: Crimea controlled by Russia but not more

75

15

7

1

1

1

Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war

Apr 8, 3:00 AMMay 15, 3:59 AM

45%chance

183120590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

910

At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?

Nov 12, 11:10 AMJun 1, 12:59 AM

14.23%chance

29299985

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5509

718

Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?

Dec 30, 6:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21%chance

13131793

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3898

704

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?

Aug 17, 11:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16.17%chance

13729589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3859

985

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?

Jun 17, 10:18 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

27.27%chance

26624128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3732

1538

Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?

Jul 2, 5:24 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

30.61%chance

15022796

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3005

1008

Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2026?

Jun 9, 9:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

20.8%chance

10319360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1962

516

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

Mar 11, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.97%chance

312765

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2101

1898

Will Ukraine join NATO before Family Guy ends?

Mar 7, 7:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.96%chance

291737

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2006

1960

Latest stories

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Aug 29, 2025
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Breaking
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