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Top stories

Trump Condemns Russian Strikes, Cites 112,500 Russian Troop Deaths in 2025

US Foreign Policy

Trump Condemns Russian Strikes, Cites 112,500 Russian Troop Deaths in 2025

Authors

8

17 hours ago

Germany to Deliver Two Additional Patriot Launchers to Ukraine Following Three Previous Shipments Amid Deadly Attacks

Germany to Deliver Two Additional Patriot Launchers to Ukraine Following Three Previous Shipments Amid Deadly Attacks

Authors

7

24 hours ago

Trump Moves Two U.S. Nuclear Submarines Near Russia After Medvedev Warning

US Foreign Policy

Trump Moves Two U.S. Nuclear Submarines Near Russia After Medvedev Warning

Authors

83

16 hours ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Threatens Russia Sanctions Over Ukraine Ceasefire Deadline

Authors

4

9 hours ago

Putin Hails ‘Positive’ Ukraine Talks While Holding Firm on War Goals

Authors

15

22 hours ago

Putin Says Russian Troops Advancing Along Entire Ukraine Frontline, Ignores Trump Ultimatum Amid Peace Talks

Authors

7

18 hours ago

Putin Says Russian Forces Advance Across Entire Ukraine Front

Authors

5

22 hours ago

Zelensky Discusses Large-Scale Arms Deal and Leaders' Meeting with Putin, Engages UK, France, Germany, Italy Advisors

Authors

8

23 hours ago

Prediction markets for Ukraine

Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?

Jun 22, 11:41 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7%chance

531364391

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3466

395

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Jan 10, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.21%chance

479178651

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5704

893

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

51%chance

428153415

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8907

3846

How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

Jul 2, 9:32 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

661140330

OptionProbability

Ukraine ceding more than Crimea to Russia

Pre-2022: Crimea controlled by Russia but not more

Pre-2014: Crimea controlled by Ukraine

No cease-fire of 6 months

No Ukraine anymore

No Russia anymore

78

7

6

6

3

1

At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?

Nov 12, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.4%chance

28699016

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5680

691

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

Jan 22, 8:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.21%chance

10162383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20363

3436

If the U.S. stops sending military assistance to Ukraine, will there be a ceasefire by the end of 2025?

Aug 20, 11:16 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

3434275

OptionProbability

The U.S. keeps supporting Ukraine and there's no ceasefire

The U.S. keeps supporting Ukraine and there's a ceasefire

The U.S. stops supporting Ukraine and there's a ceasefire

The U.S. stops supporting Ukraine and there's no ceasefire

80

15

2

2

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?

Jun 17, 10:18 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

32.29%chance

26423638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3291

1724

Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?

Nov 11, 2:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.49%chance

15022811

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1449

1124

Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?

Jul 2, 5:24 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

35.56%chance

14922316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2728

1145

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

Mar 11, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.07%chance

272657

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2106

1894

Will Ukraine join NATO before Family Guy ends?

Mar 7, 7:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.63%chance

251331

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2153

1747

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