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Top stories

FBI Redacts Trump Name in Epstein Files, Stirring MAGA Backlash

FBI Redacts Trump Name in Epstein Files, Stirring MAGA Backlash

Authors

7

3 hours ago

Trump Slaps 25% Tariff on India in Sweeping Global Duties

Executive Orders

Trump Slaps 25% Tariff on India in Sweeping Global Duties

Authors

22

11 hours ago

India Says It Will Keep Buying Russian Oil Despite Trump Threats

US Foreign Policy

India Says It Will Keep Buying Russian Oil Despite Trump Threats

Authors

10

8 hours ago

SEC Launches ‘Project Crypto’, Eases ETF Rules in Regulatory Pivot

Authors

11

12 hours ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Opens Door to Talks With Lula on 50% Tariffs

Authors

7

19 hours ago

US Foreign Policy

US and Mexico Near Anti-Drug Pact as Trump Delays Tariff Hike

Authors

3

21 hours ago

Trump’s MAGA Inc Builds $200 Million War Chest as Musk Leads Donor Surge

Authors

15

1 day ago

US Domestic Policy

Trump Demands Lower U.S. Drug Prices, European Pharma Stocks Slide

Authors

6

1 day ago

Prediction markets for White House

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.6%chance

17541407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7357

1014

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

75.07%chance

14523253

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1735

576

If Trump wins will Laura Loomer be given a position in the White House or federal government by the end of 2025?

Sep 15, 5:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.5%chance

2713572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1763

680

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

87.33%chance

367280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2625

381

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be quoted at a White House press briefing again by the end of 2025?

May 24, 8:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.98%chance

306369

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2293

436

Will an effective accelerationist (e/acc) be in an important AI policy role for the White House before the end of 2025?

Jul 2, 11:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.05%chance

144432

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1085

922

NY Times runs an article or editorial suggesting renaming The White House

Jan 9, 4:20 AMMay 16, 6:59 AM

12.24%chance

311788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1876

801

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

UFC fight at the White House by end of Trump's term?

Jul 6, 3:01 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

56.18%chance

24854

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

88

Will the next Republican Speaker of the House (after Mike Johnson) be a white male?

Mar 22, 4:51 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

83.23%chance

25779

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1207

925

Will the champions of Super Bowl LX visit the White House after their win?

Feb 24, 2:53 PMMay 1, 3:59 AM

53.68%chance

7409

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1077

929

Will JK Rowling visit the White House again before 2028?

Apr 5, 3:31 PMJan 6, 6:59 AM

21.49%chance

18376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

956

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