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Prediction markets for French
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?
Apr 9, 1:32 AMMay 7, 11:59 PM
48.91%chance
9241468
OptionVotes
1227
585
Who will make the second round of the 2027 French Presidental Election?
Jun 2, 1:52 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM
5629912
OptionProbability
86
49
24
13
9
7
6
5
5
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election
Nov 16, 8:05 PMMay 21, 3:59 AM
49%chance
7221835
OptionVotes
1211
705
If Marine Le Pen wins the 2027 French election will more that 5% of French muslims leave within three years?
Oct 19, 6:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.31%chance
68254
OptionVotes
1074
992
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be candidate to the french presidential election in 2027
Feb 8, 12:15 AMJul 1, 9:59 PM
94.32%chance
416506
OptionVotes
3228
102
Will Emmanuel Macron change the French constitution to be able to run for a third term in a row?
Oct 19, 8:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
2.87%chance
355108
OptionVotes
3349
832
Will the French believe Intelligence Artificielle (IA) to be an existential risk, by 2030?
Sep 2, 6:37 AMJan 1, 7:28 AM
61.32%chance
271337
OptionVotes
1038
914
OptionVotes
1680
904
OptionVotes
1048
844
Will French Polynesia become independent from France by the end of 2037?
Apr 10, 9:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
20.35%chance
9256
OptionVotes
230
85
Will the next French presidential elections (2027) take place without any major democratic problems because of AI?
Sep 10, 8:41 PMMay 31, 9:59 PM
76.59%chance
9210
OptionVotes
281
176
OptionVotes
199
182
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