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Prediction markets for French

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?

Apr 9, 1:32 AMMay 7, 11:59 PM

25.56%chance

7523279

OptionVotes

YES

1183

889

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election

Nov 16, 8:05 PMMay 21, 3:59 AM

26.79%chance

4514204

OptionVotes

YES

1309

857

Who will make the second round of the 2027 French Presidental Election?

Jun 2, 1:52 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

296799

OptionProbability

Marine Le Pen

Edouard Philippe

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jordan Bardella

Gabriel Attal

Dominique de Villepin

François Hollande

Éric Zemmour

François Ruffin

Laurent Wauquiez

Bernard Cazeneuve

Xavier Bertrand

Bruno Retailleau

Raphaël Glucksmann

Fabien Roussel

David Lisnard

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be candidate to the french presidential election in 2027

Feb 8, 12:15 AMJul 1, 9:59 PM

91.35%chance

385465

OptionVotes

YES

2763

137

Will Emmanuel Macron change the French constitution to be able to run for a third term in a row?

Oct 19, 8:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.01%chance

334958

OptionVotes

YES

3199

836

Will the French believe Intelligence Artificielle (IA) to be an existential risk, by 2030?

Sep 2, 6:37 AMJan 1, 7:28 AM

61.32%chance

271337

OptionVotes

YES

1038

914

Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade?

Sep 18, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.3%chance

41275

OptionVotes

YES

255

Will Lebanon return to a French Mandate before 2030?

Nov 8, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.81%chance

17893

OptionVotes

YES

1680

904

French, Polish, German and/or British troops deployed to Ukraine by end of 2030?

Mar 4, 1:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.02%chance

24743

OptionVotes

YES

123

Will there be a french Sixth republic by 2040?

Aug 17, 4:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29.66%chance

24699

OptionVotes

YES

1048

844

Will Darmanin be the candidate supported by Macron in the French presidential elections of 2027?

Dec 16, 5:31 AMApr 9, 3:59 AM

10%chance

7489

OptionVotes

YES

293

2027 French Open - Men’s singles winner?

May 19, 8:29 AMJun 7, 9:59 PM

10192

OptionProbability

🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz

🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner

Other

🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev

🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic

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Authors
4
1 year ago

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