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Top stories

Iowa Republican Joni Ernst Will Not Seek Senate Re-election in 2026

US Gov Appointments

Iowa Republican Joni Ernst Will Not Seek Senate Re-election in 2026

Authors

5

8 months ago

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

US Gov Appointments

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

Authors

115

8 months ago

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

Trump Invokes Rare Pocket Rescission to Cancel $4.9 Billion Foreign Aid

Authors

33

8 months ago

Alaska Gov. Dunleavy Readies 2028 Senate Run, Picks Cox as AG

Authors

12

8 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Schumer, Jeffries Urge Budget Talks as Sept. 30 Shutdown Deadline Nears

Authors

19

8 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Democrats Escalate Campaign Against Trump’s ‘Big Ugly Bill’ Cuts

Authors

3

8 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Senate Republicans Fast-Track Miran for Fed Board Before September Meeting

Authors

6

8 months ago

Trump Threatens Lawsuit to Overturn Senate Blue Slip Tradition

Authors

12

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Senate

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

50%chance

244156533

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

1001

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

37.93%chance

216154173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1671

1443

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

Dec 8, 6:07 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

49.54%chance

14448354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

769

IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?

Mar 19, 2:01 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

54.42%chance

3425415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

906

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Apr 2, 12:16 AMJan 4, 11:59 PM

3820839

OptionProbability

51

52

50

Other

49

53

48

54

47

44

45

46

21

18

14

11

9

7

5

5

3

2

2

2

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Jan 7, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

567445

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

Independents

50

50

0

Will Graham Platner perform better than the Alaskan Democratic candidate for senate?

Mar 10, 8:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

65.54%chance

53295

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

73

If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?

Mar 16, 5:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

58.44%chance

222580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2013

1883

Will the Senate still have the ability to filibuster in the year 2032?

Apr 12, 12:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.23%chance

411376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2073

1847

Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?

Apr 14, 2:34 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

61.19%chance

131039

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1256

796

Which party will win the 2026 Kansas Senate race?

Nov 27, 4:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11605

OptionProbability

Republican party

Democratic party

Other

87

12

1

US Senate election in Kansas winner?

May 4, 6:03 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

3142

OptionProbability

Republicans

Democrats

80

20

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