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Prediction markets for Donald Trump

Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?

Nov 14, 9:56 PMJan 1, 9:54 PM

2.82%chance

507444050

OptionVotes

YES

6031

189

Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?

Nov 12, 7:10 PMJan 19, 9:59 PM

22%chance

830423028

OptionVotes

YES

2200

759

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Jul 26, 4:22 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

12.71%chance

403220077

OptionVotes

YES

5523

979

Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?

Jan 22, 4:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.57%chance

58187127

OptionVotes

YES

44937

7944

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2026?

Jul 14, 11:07 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

98.17%chance

93149409

OptionVotes

YES

87988

3002

Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?

Aug 5, 2:22 AMAug 12, 3:59 AM

2.03%chance

109118393

OptionVotes

YES

6942

144

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

Nov 6, 5:20 AMJan 21, 5:59 AM

54.93%chance

26971003

OptionVotes

YES

13045

5779

Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?

Nov 16, 5:04 AMJan 21, 5:01 AM

37.18%chance

19932984

OptionVotes

YES

2910

1157

Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)?

Jun 13, 5:31 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

13423254

OptionProbability

Completes full term

Dies of natural causes or illness

Does not complete term

Dies from assassination or external violence

Other

If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?

Jul 11, 5:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.6%chance

5510612

OptionVotes

YES

3763

2173

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

54.93%chance

365316

OptionVotes

YES

1104

906

Will Donald Trump still be president in 2030?

Dec 31, 1:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.83%chance

212689

OptionVotes

YES

1388

950

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Jimmy Kimmel Obtains Italian Citizenship as Contingency Plan Amid Trump’s Second Term
Authors
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4 months ago

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