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Prediction markets for Vladimir Putin

Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?

Nov 13, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.73%chance

14533799

OptionVotes

YES

2882

1223

Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?

Mar 31, 9:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

16.59%chance

14725584

OptionVotes

YES

8788

5752

Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2027?

Dec 20, 10:54 AMJan 7, 10:59 PM

82.02%chance

6322471

OptionVotes

YES

1871

662

Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?

Aug 29, 8:41 PMOct 7, 8:59 PM

22.65%chance

14317355

OptionVotes

YES

2912

1461

Will Vladimir Putin’s death be the result of an assassination?

Jun 15, 6:28 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

32.24%chance

15613392

OptionVotes

YES

1591

936

Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?

Nov 11, 3:08 PMJun 1, 12:59 AM

77.5%chance

1116404

OptionVotes

YES

1826

847

Will we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?

Dec 30, 11:12 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

39%chance

633649

OptionVotes

YES

1511

658

Will Vladimir Putin die of natural causes?

Jun 28, 5:44 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

60.32%chance

1132835

OptionVotes

YES

1647

1345

Will Nikolai Patrushev or Dmitry Patrushev succeed Vladimir Putin as president of Russia?

Jun 17, 10:40 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM

8.86%chance

922399

OptionVotes

YES

3242

1227

Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2030?

Dec 29, 10:26 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

44.37%chance

231818

OptionVotes

YES

1152

753

Will Russia have a successful peaceful transition of power from Vladimir Putin to the next ruler(s)?

Jul 7, 6:47 PMJul 7, 7:59 PM

55%chance

15674

OptionVotes

YES

1104

960

Will the public know before christmas 2032 that either Vladimir Putin or Xi Jinping has received an organ transplant?

Sep 3, 8:45 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

41.49%chance

8608

OptionVotes

YES

1188

842

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