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Prediction markets for American

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

89%chance

530230132

OptionVotes

YES

12091

5829

In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Feb 20, 10:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

92%chance

479101961

OptionVotes

YES

8074

991

What % of Americans will cite computers/technology as the US's top problem by Dec 31, 2026? (Gallup)

Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4653117

OptionProbability

1-1.5%

1.5-2%

0.5-1%

2-3%

<0.5%

3-4%

4-5%

5-10%

≥10%

Will Donald Trump send out a stimulus check to the majority of american citizens during his second term?

Nov 22, 5:36 AMJan 30, 4:59 AM

34.02%chance

15716909

OptionVotes

YES

1725

1273

If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?

Jan 21, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8616676

OptionProbability

OpenAI

Palantir

Other

xAI

Anthropic

Anduril

Google

DeepSeek

Facebook

Alibaba

Mistral

Elon Musk actually gifts a SpaceX share to every American child in 2027?

Oct 19, 8:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.32%chance

12415970

OptionVotes

YES

3034

1317

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM

44.78%chance

473044

OptionVotes

YES

984

961

Will there be a Wikipedia article about a "Euro-American split" by the end of 2028

Mar 6, 12:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

40.31%chance

101108

OptionVotes

YES

3585

2721

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM

15.65%chance

8466

OptionVotes

YES

226

119

Will it ever be true that >50% of Americans own cryptocurrency?**

Oct 7, 1:18 AMJan 2, 12:50 AM

9237

OptionProbability

2055 or later (or never)

Yes, before 2055

Yes, before 2045

Yes, before 2035

Who will win American Samoa in the 2028 Republican presidential primaries?

Nov 5, 11:17 PMJun 30, 12:00 PM

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Ron DeSantis

Who will win American Samoa in the 2028 Democratic presidential primaries?

Nov 5, 11:17 PMJun 30, 12:00 PM

OptionProbability

Other

Jon Ossoff

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Gavin Newsom

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