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Prediction markets for United Nations

Will Europe evolve into a united nation by 2030?

Aug 27, 5:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.46%chance

3814231

OptionVotes

YES

6300

159

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2027?

Apr 18, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.89%chance

4110422

OptionVotes

YES

4689

1489

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2029?

Apr 18, 8:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34%chance

514311

OptionVotes

YES

1116

895

Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?

Nov 17, 7:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.53%chance

343134

OptionVotes

YES

2044

748

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2026?

Jun 13, 12:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.51%chance

203077

OptionVotes

YES

3511

285

Will a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2030?

Nov 13, 11:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.87%chance

261609

OptionVotes

YES

1119

885

Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman becomes Secretary General of the United Nations?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.97%chance

201115

OptionVotes

YES

1102

779

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state before Ukraine joins NATO?

Apr 19, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.72%chance

24883

OptionVotes

YES

1046

960

Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?

Dec 26, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.59%chance

17556

OptionVotes

YES

1081

817

Catastrophic decline of United Nations by 2035?

Oct 25, 2:00 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.3%chance

8385

OptionVotes

YES

1269

788

Will there be a woman secretary of the United Nations before the end of 2045?

Apr 1, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.85%chance

13233

OptionVotes

YES

1182

917

Will the next secretary general of the United Nations speak German?

Nov 10, 4:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.47%chance

521

OptionVotes

YES

114

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