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Prediction markets for United Nations

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2027?

Apr 18, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13%chance

405517

OptionVotes

YES

3386

1646

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2029?

Apr 18, 8:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.02%chance

494214

OptionVotes

YES

1086

911

Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?

Nov 17, 7:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.38%chance

333131

OptionVotes

YES

2064

745

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2026?

Jun 13, 12:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.63%chance

203068

OptionVotes

YES

3480

287

WIll the United States National Guard kill someone before the 2026 Midterm Elections?

Sep 8, 6:24 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

20.68%chance

282533

OptionVotes

YES

1959

511

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM

27.72%chance

151611

OptionVotes

YES

1615

619

Will a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2030?

Nov 13, 11:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

63.62%chance

241280

OptionVotes

YES

1168

856

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state before Ukraine joins NATO?

Apr 19, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.72%chance

24883

OptionVotes

YES

1046

960

Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman becomes Secretary General of the United Nations?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.79%chance

19740

OptionVotes

YES

1475

826

Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?

Dec 26, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.59%chance

17556

OptionVotes

YES

1081

817

Catastrophic decline of United Nations by 2035?

Oct 25, 2:00 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.3%chance

8385

OptionVotes

YES

1269

788

Will there be a woman secretary of the United Nations before the end of 2045?

Apr 1, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.85%chance

13233

OptionVotes

YES

1182

917

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