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Top stories

Italy’s Meloni Condemns Gaza Strike That Killed Journalists, Citing Disproportionate Force

Italy’s Meloni Condemns Gaza Strike That Killed Journalists, Citing Disproportionate Force

Authors

6

1 year ago

Israel Intensifies Gaza Strikes as Washington Debates Post-War Plan

US Foreign Policy

Israel Intensifies Gaza Strikes as Washington Debates Post-War Plan

Authors

13

1 year ago

Israel Labels Gaza City Combat Zone, Recovers Bodies of Two Hostages

Israel Labels Gaza City Combat Zone, Recovers Bodies of Two Hostages

Authors

39

1 year ago

Israel’s Smotrich Presses Gaza Annexation Plan if Hamas Refuses to Surrender

Authors

5

1 year ago

UN Chief Guterres Decries Gaza’s ‘Endless Catalogue of Horrors’ Amid Israeli Offensive

Authors

5

1 year ago

Ron Dermer Presents Israel’s Post-War Gaza Red Lines to Trump, Emphasizing No Long-Term Occupation and Non-Hamas Control

Authors

3

1 year ago

Egypt, Qatar Say Israel Stalls Response to 60-Day Gaza Truce Plan

Authors

14

1 year ago

Lebanese Army Seizes Seven Truckloads of Weapons from Fatah in Major Disarmament Campaign South of Litani River; Hamas Refuses

Authors

7

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Hamas

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

111184377

OptionProbability

Other

Jul - Dec 2027

Jan - Jun 2027

Jul - Dec 2026

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

Jan - Jun 2025

Jul - Dec 2025

Jan - Jun 2026

50

24

22

3

0

0

0

0

0

Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?

Nov 4, 9:58 AMJan 7, 12:59 PM

56.37%chance

28744586

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1246

751

Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)

Jan 15, 2:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62%chance

8742716

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1459

520

Will Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war?

Oct 29, 4:32 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

22.4%chance

20439877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1947

434

Was Hamas using Al-Shifa as a shield for a command centre?

Oct 30, 5:06 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

86.06%chance

15038818

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2827

800

Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war

Mar 31, 11:32 AMJun 23, 5:59 AM

71.19%chance

8834517

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1628

246

Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

Jan 29, 10:42 AMDec 29, 12:59 AM

30.61%chance

5911564

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1272

848

Will Hamas actually disarm in 2026?

Jan 3, 3:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.88%chance

275891

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4975

201

Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War

Oct 14, 1:18 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

21.29%chance

151102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

282

39

Will the current Israel-Hamas conflict last ten years, as some senior Israeli officials warned during Biden's trip?

Oct 20, 3:51 PMOct 21, 6:59 AM

13.95%chance

24890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

982

967

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Sep 15, 4:23 AMJan 31, 4:21 AM

5342

OptionProbability

End of 2026

End of November

End of October

End of September

10

6

5

3

[unlinked free response] How can Israel stop Hamas from controlling Gaza before 2030?

Oct 13, 10:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7133

OptionProbability

Long-term total occupation of Gaza by ground troops; overseeing new elections; enforcement of a ban on Hamas membership/speech/symbols/publications ala the denazification of Germany.

Any policy

Any policy not involving extensive ground troop occupation of Gaza

Long-term refusal to supply food/water/energy

84

41

33

31

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Middle East
Italy
War
Italy’s Meloni Condemns Gaza Strike That Killed Journalists, Citing Disproportionate Force
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Breaking
Middle East
War
Politics
Israel Labels Gaza City Combat Zone, Recovers Bodies of Two Hostages
Authors
39
1 year ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Middle East
War
US Foreign Policy
Israel Intensifies Gaza Strikes as Washington Debates Post-War Plan
Authors
13
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
UN Chief Guterres Decries Gaza’s ‘Endless Catalogue of Horrors’ Amid Israeli Offensive
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Israel’s Smotrich Presses Gaza Annexation Plan if Hamas Refuses to Surrender
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Ron Dermer Presents Israel’s Post-War Gaza Red Lines to Trump, Emphasizing No Long-Term Occupation and Non-Hamas Control
Authors
3
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Lebanon
Politics
World
Lebanese Army Seizes Seven Truckloads of Weapons from Fatah in Major Disarmament Campaign South of Litani River; Hamas Refuses
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Egypt, Qatar Say Israel Stalls Response to 60-Day Gaza Truce Plan
Authors
14
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Hundreds of UN Rights Staff Urge Türk to Call Gaza Genocide
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Israeli Hostage’s Family Releases Abduction Footage, Pressuring Netanyahu on Deal
Authors
14
1 year ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Middle East
Spain
War
Global Sumud Flotilla to Launch Major Humanitarian Mission to Gaza From Barcelona on August 31 Amid Israeli Blockade
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Middle East
Vatican City
War
Pope Leo XIV Presses for Permanent Gaza Ceasefire and Hostage Release
Authors
19
1 year ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Global Somoud Flotilla Plans 1,000 Boats to Break Israeli Siege as Truck Drivers Face Attacks and Hamas Charities Reclaim Food in Gaza
Authors
3
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Israel Sends Influencers as Hospital Strike Kills Gaza Journalists Amid Media Ban
Authors
13
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Middle East
War
US Foreign Policy
Netanyahu Criticized Over Gaza Civilian Casualties Amid Israel’s Divided IDF, Protests, and Push for U.S. Role in Potential December Iran War
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Middle East
Brazil
War
Israel Defense Chief Calls Lula ‘Antisemitic,’ Brazil Condemns Remarks
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
OIC Condemns Israeli Gaza Actions, Saudi Calls for UN Session; Israel Delays Qatar-Egypt Ceasefire Proposal Amid Egypt’s Lebanon Support
Authors
9
1 year ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Middle East
Britain
War
UK Foreign Secretary Lammy Condemns Israeli Strike on Gaza’s Nasser Hospital
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Hamas Accuses Netanyahu of Obstructing Gaza Ceasefire Deal After Accepting Mediators' Proposal, Citing Occupation Plan and New Conditions
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
IPC Declares Gaza Famine, Ruffalo Presses Trump for Aid Action
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
Israel
War
Politics
Israeli Protesters Target National Security Minister Ben-Gvir Over Hostage Deal, Prisoner Exchange with Hamas
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Egypt Cites Famine Reports, Hamas and Palestinian Groups Call for Safe Corridors to Lift Israel's Gaza Blockade
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Middle East
War
US Foreign Policy
Trump Says Israel ‘Safer’ With Swift Gaza Offensive, Cites Hostage Role
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Leaked Israeli Data Shows 83% of Gaza Deaths Are Civilians
Authors
29
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
27 Nations Urge Israel to End Gaza Press Ban and Protect Journalists
Authors
11
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Israel Threatens to Destroy Gaza City Unless Hamas Accepts Peace Terms Amid Hostage Talks, Netanyahu Approval, and Capture Plan
Authors
11
1 year ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Netanyahu Vows Full Israeli Control of Gaza to End War, Demands Hamas Disarmament, Hostage Release; Trump Supports
Authors
8
1 year ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Israeli Military Launches Ground Operations in Gaza City on August 21 in Final Phase Against Hamas Stronghold
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
IDF Chief Eyal Zamir Announces Expansion of Gaza Offensive, Including Khan Yunis Clashes and Rocket Sites Dismantled
Authors
10
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Middle East
France
War
Macron Says Israeli Gaza Offensive Risks Disaster and Permanent Regional War
Authors
11
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
IDF Kills Hamas Militant Jihad Najjar Linked to Yarden Bibas Abduction Amid Khan Younis Attack, Mount Hermon Blast, Gaza Displacement
Authors
23
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Britain
Crime
Culture
Kneecap Rapper Mo Chara Challenges London Terror Charge Over Hezbollah Flag
Authors
21
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
19 UAE Trucks Carrying 355 Tons of Aid Cross Rafah to Gaza Amid Israeli Delays, 1,200-Ton Food Ship Approaches, Hamas Aid Diversion Accused
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
UN Reports Record 383 Aid Workers Killed in 2024, Nearly Half in Gaza Amid Israel-Hamas War
Authors
22
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Middle East
War
US Foreign Policy
Hamas Backs 60-Day Gaza Truce, Mediators Await Israel’s Answer
Authors
13
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Europe
War
Stocks
Peace Overtures Drag European Defense Stocks Lower
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Videos Claim Hamas Seizes Hundreds of Gaza Aid Trucks Amid Competing Allegations
Authors
3
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Trump Says 50 Israeli Hostages Held 682 Days Will Return Only After Hamas Is Destroyed Amid Extortion Claims
Authors
16
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Middle East
Indonesia
War
U.S.- and Israeli-Backed Gaza Humanitarian Foundation Launches Food Aid Reservation System, Distributes 1.4 Million Meals with 800 Tons Indonesian Aid
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Lebanon
War
Politics
Israeli Chief of Staff Announces Gradual, Precise Second Phase of Operation Gideon's Chariots Using Full Military Force in Gaza City; Lebanese Palestinian Camps Disarmament Underway
Authors
13
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Israel Says It Will Reject Any Partial Deal With Hamas
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Hamas Reply Said to Mirror 98% of Israel-Accepted Whitkoff Plan
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Middle East
War
US Foreign Policy
Egypt and Qatar Revive Gaza Cease-Fire Talks, Seek U.S. Envoy’s Backing
Authors
16
1 year ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Middle East
US Foreign Policy
US Domestic Policy
U.S. Suspends Gaza Visitor Visas Including Humanitarian Medical Cases After Laura Loomer Influence, Rubio Cites Hamas Ties
Authors
61
1 year ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Canada
Movies
Culture
TIFF Pulls Then Reinstates Barry Avrich October 7 Documentary About Grandfather Saving Family With Forced Name Change
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Canada
US Legislation
US Domestic Policy
Calls to Designate Muslim Brotherhood as Terrorist Organization Face Democratic Opposition Amid US-Canada Probe of Affiliates
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Hamas Al-Qassam Says Yassin Shell Hits Israeli Merkava Tank in Gaza
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Yvette Cooper Defends Palestine Action Terror Ban Amid Passport Revocation Call, Court Complaint, Hamas Accusation, Israel-BP Meeting
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Gaza Health Ministry Says 47 Killed in Latest Israeli Strikes
Authors
3
1 year ago
Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Aharon Haliva Says 50 Palestinians Must Die per Israeli in October 7 Attack, References Nakba; Knesset Speaker Backs Gaza Invasion
Authors
17
1 year ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Middle East
Politics
World
Whistleblower Accuses UN Food Agencies of Blocking Gaza Aid, Misusing Funds
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Middle East
Russia
War
UN Blacklists Hamas for Sexual Violence, Puts Israel and Russia on Notice
Authors
10
1 year ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Israel
War
Politics
Israel’s Ben-Gvir Films Himself Threatening Prisoner Marwan Barghouti
Authors
29
1 year ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
US Foreign Policy
US Domestic Policy
Politics
120,000 Ukrainian Refugees Lose Legal Status Under Trump as Refugee Cap and Palestinian Arrivals Raise Concerns
Authors
11
1 year ago
Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
IDF Eliminates Five Hamas Operatives Posing as World Central Kitchen Aid Workers Smuggling Weapons; WCK Condemns Act Amid UN Misconduct Claims
Authors
15
1 year ago
Aug 12, 2025
Aug 12, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Israeli Airstrike at Al-Shifa Hospital Kills Pulitzer-Winning Al Jazeera Correspondent Anas al-Sharif and Five Journalists, Drawing UN Condemnation
Authors
36
1 year ago
Aug 11, 2025
Aug 11, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Netanyahu Defends Expanded Gaza Offensive Including Gaza City, Central Camps, Mawasi to Complete Defeat of Hamas
Authors
15
1 year ago

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