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Prediction markets for Microsoft

Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.55%chance

799213

OptionVotes

YES

1428

958

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?

Mar 16, 9:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

68.09%chance

575490

OptionVotes

YES

2078

1778

Will Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029?

May 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

16.73%chance

434800

OptionVotes

YES

3128

1058

Will Helion Deliver 10 Megawatts of Fusion Power to Microsoft by 2029?

May 10, 7:44 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

11.96%chance

223401

OptionVotes

YES

3555

1306

Will the next version of Microsoft Windows operating system (Windows 12) be released before Grand Theft Auto 6?

Dec 29, 4:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.52%chance

503260

OptionVotes

YES

1858

297

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Microsoft?

Mar 18, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.53%chance

303014

OptionVotes

YES

4430

1542

Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft?

Mar 16, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.69%chance

442814

OptionVotes

YES

3127

1369

Will Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?

Sep 26, 6:44 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

36.36%chance

382620

OptionVotes

YES

1318

1115

Will the first $10 Trillion company be a company other than Apple or Microsoft?

Mar 16, 9:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75%chance

302463

OptionVotes

YES

3277

1322

Will Microsoft successfully build a nuclear power plant before OpenAI claims to have AGI?

Jan 9, 5:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.5%chance

532129

OptionVotes

YES

1051

865

Will OpenAI be more valuable than Microsoft before 2040?

Mar 7, 3:55 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28%chance

272090

OptionVotes

YES

1023

826

Will Microsoft have at least one data center (partially) powered by a self-operated fission reactor before 2030?

Dec 15, 9:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.48%chance

231701

OptionVotes

YES

1734

365

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