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Prediction markets for London

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27167060

OptionProbability

Yes

Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?

Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.22%chance

2411283

OptionVotes

YES

11978

1115

Which party will win the 2028 London mayoral election?

Aug 20, 10:18 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

134943

OptionProbability

Labour

Reform

Other

Greens

Conservative

Will there be self driving taxis in London, UK by the end of 2026?

Aug 21, 7:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.04%chance

473812

OptionVotes

YES

1621

217

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?

Jun 9, 10:52 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

15%chance

262373

OptionVotes

YES

1633

Will I be able to book a commercial electrical flight between London and New York in 2040?

Mar 7, 8:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.55%chance

411685

OptionVotes

YES

1012

923

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2027?

Jun 9, 10:54 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

8.49%chance

171440

OptionVotes

YES

1707

Will Thomas Skinner stand in the 2028 London Mayoral election?

Jun 24, 4:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.84%chance

6777

OptionVotes

YES

1651

606

Will Anthropic substantially reduce its London office size?

Jun 13, 1:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.99%chance

4645

OptionVotes

YES

1645

608

Will Baidu driverless cars be available to ride in London in 2026?

Dec 22, 6:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.22%chance

7494

OptionVotes

YES

1170

855

Will 25 London restaurants offer a cultivated meat product by 2029?

Mar 3, 3:03 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.45%chance

12396

OptionVotes

YES

1014

926

Will Looking for Growth give a London councillor, the London mayor or an MP before 2030?

Jun 17, 1:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.28%chance

335

OptionVotes

YES

1035

966

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