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Prediction markets for Venezuela

President of Venezuela at the end of 2026

Jan 3, 2:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

359123149

OptionProbability

Delcy Rodríguez

Edmundo González

Other

María Corina Machado

Nicolás Maduro

Diosdado Cabello

Vladimir Padrino López

Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026?

Jan 6, 5:55 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

18.22%chance

7424028

OptionVotes

YES

3598

1339

How will Venezuela be classified in The Economist's 2027 Democracy Index?

Jan 3, 12:27 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM

8010689

OptionProbability

Authoritarian regime

Hybrid regime

Flawed democracy

Full democracy

Will Maria Corina Machado ever be President of Venezuela?

Jan 3, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.33%chance

539789

OptionVotes

YES

2186

458

Will Trump or his family benefit financially from US control of Venezuela by end of year?

Jan 4, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.26%chance

353966

OptionVotes

YES

1285

779

Free & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?

Jan 6, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.37%chance

223862

OptionVotes

YES

3310

302

Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?

Jan 3, 6:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.63%chance

383841

OptionVotes

YES

2903

345

Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before Venezuela invades Guyana?

Feb 16, 6:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.45%chance

283321

OptionVotes

YES

2568

1799

Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

Mar 30, 5:33 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

52.81%chance

342621

OptionVotes

YES

1341

762

Will the PSUV cease to be the ruling party of Venezuela before 2028?

Jan 3, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.14%chance

71298

OptionVotes

YES

1337

748

Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?

Jan 17, 12:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

10601

OptionVotes

YES

1137

918

Will Venezuela have a higher incarceration rate in 2028 than it did in 2022?

Jan 4, 10:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.37%chance

10135

OptionVotes

YES

1087

950

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
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14
1 year ago
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Caribbean
US Foreign Policy
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Mexico
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1 year ago
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1 year ago
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1 year ago
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1 year ago
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Politics
World
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Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 14, 2025
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Colombia
Politics
World
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