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Prediction markets for Venezuela

Military conflict between the US and Venezuela in 2025?

Aug 28, 12:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.65%chance

810304413

OptionVotes

YES

3085

649

US Military action again Venezuela in 2025?

Nov 15, 10:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.95%chance

16337893

OptionVotes

YES

2138

468

US troops on Venezuelan soil before 2026 if US attacks Venezuela?

Oct 29, 9:28 PMDec 31, 10:14 PM

11.9%chance

329160

OptionVotes

YES

2720

368

Military conflict between the US and Venezuela by 2027

Oct 24, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.8%chance

428935

OptionVotes

YES

2086

1641

USA strikes Venezuela in first 2 weeks of December 2025?

Dec 1, 9:51 AMDec 16, 12:00 AM

6.2%chance

315067

OptionVotes

YES

3888

257

Will Venezuela enter a new hot war with anyone by the end of 2026?

Sep 9, 4:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.3%chance

333815

OptionVotes

YES

1026

974

Will Venezuela exercise de facto rule over any portion of Guyanese territory before 2026?

Dec 31, 4:32 PMJan 1, 10:00 PM

4.92%chance

153536

OptionVotes

YES

3974

610

Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before Venezuela invades Guyana?

Feb 16, 6:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.76%chance

261829

OptionVotes

YES

2181

1572

Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

Mar 30, 5:33 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

51.68%chance

251511

OptionVotes

YES

1317

783

In 2025, iff Half-Life 3 announced then US-Venezuela Conflict? (Resolves XNOR)

Dec 2, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.64%chance

71083

OptionVotes

YES

163

Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:17 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

75.48%chance

11867

OptionVotes

YES

1755

570

[Metaculus] If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

Jan 13, 4:21 PMJan 4, 5:00 PM

85.97%chance

13330

OptionVotes

YES

260

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Latin America
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
US Sends Seven Warships Toward Venezuela, Prompting Regional Rift
Authors
44
3 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Politics
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4
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Caribbean
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Venezuela, Led by Nicolás Maduro, Appeals to UN and Guterres Over U.S. Nuclear-Capable Submarine Deployment in Caribbean; Cuba Supports
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14
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Cuba's Miguel Diaz-Canel and Venezuela's Maduro Condemn U.S. Military Deployment as 25,000 Troops Deployed in Catatumbo
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3
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
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Argentina
Soccer
Sports
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5
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Politics
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3
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Venezuela
Politics
World
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3
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Bolivia
Politics
Business
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8
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Politics
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4
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
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Chile
Venezuela
Economics
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8
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Venezuela
Crime
Culture
Colombia Confirms 38 Nationals Detained in Venezuela; Five Released Amid 2,800 kg Cocaine Seizure and 816 Political Arrests
Authors
4
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Chile
US Foreign Policy
Economics
Maduro-Trump Tensions Persist as Chile Plans $1.2 Trillion Fiscal Savings Under Grau and Debates Kast Proposal at Innova Summit
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7
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Colombia
Venezuela
Politics
Venezuela Frees 13 Political Prisoners Including De Grazia, Guanipa; Colombia Releases 33 Soldiers Kidnapped by FARC Dissidents
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20
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
South America
US Foreign Policy
Politics
U.S. Forms South America Coalition as Navy Expands Anti-Cartel Push
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5
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Mexico
US Foreign Policy
Energy
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5
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Politics
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5
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
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Britain
Venezuela
Music
Coldplay Performs 10 Concerts at Wembley With Gustavo Dudamel, Orquesta Sinfónica Simón Bolívar on OSSB 50th Anniversary
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9
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Chile
Crime
Culture
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5
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Colombia
Venezuela
Crime
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3
3 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
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Caribbean
China
US Foreign Policy
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6
3 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
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Caribbean
France
Crime
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14
3 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Economics
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Authors
4
3 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Venezuela
Politics
World
Venezuela Appoints Carlos Martínez Mendoza as Reserve General Amid Military Deployment in Zulia and Táchira Border Zones
Authors
5
3 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
South America
US Foreign Policy
Climate
Petro, Lula and Arce Lead Amazon Summit in Bogotá Amid U.S. Indictment Warning and Maduro Accusations
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6
3 months ago
Aug 24, 2025
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Latin America
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
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3
3 months ago
Aug 24, 2025
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Venezuela
Obituary
Movies
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3
3 months ago
Aug 24, 2025
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Africa
Yemen
Venezuela
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5
3 months ago
Aug 24, 2025
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Racing
Sports
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3 months ago
Aug 23, 2025
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Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Politics
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5
3 months ago
Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
Europe
War
US Foreign Policy
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Authors
5
3 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Trump Withholds Venezuelan Oil Approval for Non-American Majors, Pressures Maduro, Allows Chevron to Supply U.S. Refiners
Authors
14
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
US Foreign Policy
Energy
Politics
Trump Blocks Venezuelan Oil Permits for Non-US Majors, Spares Chevron
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10
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Politics
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8
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Venezuela
Energy
Business
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Authors
10
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
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South America
US Foreign Policy
Politics
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9
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
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Russia
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
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3
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
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Culture
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3
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
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US Domestic Policy
Politics
United States
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32
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Politics
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8
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Venezuela
Politics
World
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8
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Venezuela
World
United States
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Authors
4
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
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Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
US Domestic Policy
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Authors
3
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
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Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Politics
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Authors
3
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Venezuela
War
Politics
WFP Aid Convoy Attacked in North Darfur’s Mellit; RSF Blames Army, WFP Cuts Venezuela Aid
Authors
5
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
France
Venezuela
Politics
French Citizen Camilo Castro, 40, Detained Without Cause Since June 26 at Paraguachón Border in Venezuela; Consular Rights Unmet
Authors
8
4 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Latin America
Caribbean
US Foreign Policy
OAS Secretary General Albert Ramdin Presents August 20 Roadmap for Stability in Haiti Amid U.S. Military Deployment Near Venezuela
Authors
3
4 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Mexico
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Mexico's Sheinbaum Denies DEA Agreement on 'Proyecto Portero,' Affirms Limits on DEA Operations Amid Venezuela-U.S. Tensions
Authors
22
4 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Brazil
US Foreign Policy
Politics
US Military Aircraft Linked to CIA From 150th Special Operations Squadron Lands in Porto Alegre and Guarulhos, Inspected by Brazilian Authorities
Authors
3
4 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Crime
Venezuela Seizes Weapons Cache, Links Terror Plot to Opposition Figure
Authors
5
4 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Venezuela Imposes 30-Day Ban on Drone Flights, Sales, and Training Amid U.S. Tensions and Trump’s $50 Million Bounty
Authors
5
4 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Colombia
War
Climate
Petro Confirms Venezuelan Lawyer María Alejandra Díaz’s Arrival After Asylum, Declares Clan del Golfo Terrorist, Militarizes Cali, and Opens Amazon Summit
Authors
5
4 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Crime
Landau Denies Diosdado Cabello's Claims as US Charges 30 Including Tren de Aragua Members; Weapons Seized in Miranda
Authors
4
4 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Politics
U.S. Undersecretary Landau Says Maduro 'Destroyed' Venezuela, Responds to PSUV's Cabello as Cuba Protests Rubio-Led U.S. Caribbean Military Deployment
Authors
6
4 months ago
Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
Colombia
Venezuela
Crime
Colombia Detains Venezuelan Criminals with Interpol Notices, Arrests Hitman Alberto Carlos Mejía, and Initiates Extradition of Carlos Ramón González
Authors
9
4 months ago
Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Former Officer Defends Biden’s Venezuela Policy and Alex Saab Release Amid US Strategy Against Maduro’s Cartel of the Suns with 4,000 Troops
Authors
3
4 months ago
Aug 14, 2025
Aug 14, 2025
Venezuela
Politics
World
Delcy Rodríguez Submits 50-Volume Dossier to ICJ Reaffirming Venezuela’s Guayana Esequiba Claim, Rejects Court Jurisdiction
Authors
4
4 months ago
Aug 14, 2025
Aug 14, 2025
Colombia
Politics
World
Álvaro Uribe Accuses Gustavo Petro of Instigating Assassination of Senator Miguel Uribe Turbay; Former Lawyer Convicted for Bribery
Authors
6
4 months ago

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