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Top stories

Trump Demands Hillary Clinton Investigation, Warns of "Very Big Price"; DOJ to Probe California Voter Rolls, Obama Also Targeted

US Domestic Policy

Trump Demands Hillary Clinton Investigation, Warns of "Very Big Price"; DOJ to Probe California Voter Rolls, Obama Also Targeted

Authors

5

8 hours ago

EU AI Act Compliance Starts August 2 for GPAI Providers Including OpenAI, Mistral, Google With Data Transparency Rules

EU AI Act Compliance Starts August 2 for GPAI Providers Including OpenAI, Mistral, Google With Data Transparency Rules

Authors

4

19 hours ago

Pakistan's Cnergyico to Import 1 Million Barrels of U.S. Crude from Vitol in October Under Landmark Trump-Brokered Trade Deal

US Foreign Policy

Pakistan's Cnergyico to Import 1 Million Barrels of U.S. Crude from Vitol in October Under Landmark Trump-Brokered Trade Deal

Authors

9

22 hours ago

SEC Launches Nationwide Crypto Roundtables for Industry Input

Authors

6

16 hours ago

Harris Memoir “107 Days” Set for Sept. 23 Release

Authors

6

2 days ago

Gavin Newsom Proposes November Special Election for Anti-Trump Redistricting as Democrats Urge Response to Texas GOP Map

Authors

6

2 days ago

US Navy F-35 Fighter Jet Crashes Near Naval Air Station Lemoore, Pilot Ejects Safely in Second 2025 Crash

Authors

7

2 days ago

Harris Rules Out 2026 California Governor Bid

Authors

63

3 days ago

Prediction markets for California

State Farm announces it is leaving the California residential insurance market, announcement before December 31, 2025

Feb 15, 2:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.29%chance

27106385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138784

35201

Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California?

Nov 15, 1:41 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

3.4%chance

4970419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

49966

4816

EOY 2030, how difficult will it be to get gender affirming care (puberty blockers, HRT) for a minor in California?

Jan 22, 7:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3148216

OptionProbability

About the same as in 2024

Notably more difficult than in 2024

Notably easier than in 2024

Virtually impossible

31

27

24

17

Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service in California by the end of 2026?

Oct 12, 12:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60%chance

5626230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

82

Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?

Jul 4, 12:46 AMJul 11, 8:59 PM

367278

OptionProbability

Eleni Kounalakis

Katie Porter

Other

Betty Yee

Rick Caruso

Antonio Villaraigosa

Rob Bonta

Kamala Harris

Toni Atkins

Tony Thurmond

Xavier Becerra

Jesse Perez

Michael L. Younger

29

19

15

8

8

6

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

Dems lose California or New York by 2028?

Nov 9, 8:08 AMNov 7, 7:59 AM

4.09%chance

54176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4842

207

If passed, will 2 or more AI orgs significantly shift their operations from California and give SB 1047 as the reason?

Aug 29, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.22%chance

152594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2680

373

Will California decriminalize psilocybin mushrooms before 2027?

Jan 14, 1:34 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

30.35%chance

291526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1615

254

Will California be in the top 5 economies in the world in 2027?

Apr 26, 1:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.36%chance

20779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

600

If SB-1047 (or reasonably similar legislation) is run as a ballot initiative in California in 2026, will it pass?

Oct 8, 8:43 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

71.52%chance

12682

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1585

631

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 26th State Senate district

Jun 18, 2:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Wendy Carrillo

Sara Hernandez

Other

33

33

33

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 2nd State Senate district

Jun 18, 2:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Damon Connolly

James Gore

Natalie Rogers

Other

25

25

25

25

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