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Prediction markets for Canada

Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?

Apr 28, 10:00 PMApr 28, 9:54 PM

7847084

OptionProbability

Mark Carney

Pierre Poilievre

Other

Doug Ford

Heather McPherson

Jason Kenney

Caroline Mulroney

Avi Lewis

Justin Trudeau

Will USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?

Jan 8, 5:59 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

12.62%chance

7224827

OptionVotes

YES

2632

380

When will Canada's birth rate exceed India's birth rate?

Dec 9, 10:30 PMJan 14, 4:59 AM

610790

OptionProbability

2051-2075

2076-2100

2041-2050

2031-2040

After 2100

Never

2025-2030

Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2030?

Jan 26, 6:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.08%chance

239569

OptionVotes

YES

2734

375

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

81.31%chance

93929

OptionVotes

YES

1134

954

Will Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?

Jan 22, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.81%chance

183829

OptionVotes

YES

1088

919

Impala Canada to accelerate shutdown in 2026

Aug 26, 12:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.25%chance

51545

OptionVotes

YES

1518

659

Will Canada close its border with the US to civilian travel due to a pandemic disease by Feb 1, 2029?

Feb 24, 7:15 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

17.04%chance

81351

OptionVotes

YES

2206

453

A Chinese car is one of the top 5 best selling passenger car models in Canada in 2026

Jan 16, 9:52 PMJan 16, 11:59 PM

13.98%chance

18665

OptionVotes

YES

1263

1038

What will be the population of Canada in the year 2030?

Aug 1, 9:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.06%chance

12539

OptionProbability

YES

1087

906

Impala Platinum Canada PGM 2E Production 2027

Jan 30, 7:51 PMMar 1, 12:00 AM

47.92%chance

3402

OptionVotes

YES

1043

959

Will I hear of anyone in the US or Canada placed under an involuntary psychiatric hold for talking about suicide from a philosophical perspective?

Nov 18, 2:21 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

18.9%chance

14273

OptionVotes

YES

1081

966

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