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Prediction markets for India

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

17984322

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

Will India settle their Kashmir conflict with Pakistan before January 1st 2035?

Nov 27, 5:20 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

22.63%chance

4426498

OptionVotes

YES

3540

1226

When will Canada's birth rate exceed India's birth rate?

Dec 9, 10:30 PMJan 14, 4:59 AM

610790

OptionProbability

2051-2075

2076-2100

2041-2050

2031-2040

After 2100

Never

2025-2030

Will Narendra Modi win a fourth term as leader of India?

Jun 10, 11:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.8%chance

559273

OptionVotes

YES

2120

1891

Will India surpass China in terms of GDP before 2050?

Nov 18, 8:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24%chance

516486

OptionVotes

YES

1588

682

Will Narendra Modi be Prime Minister of India after 2029 election?

Dec 17, 4:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.53%chance

261765

OptionVotes

YES

1499

450

Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India?

Jul 9, 9:59 PMJan 1, 5:51 PM

47.56%chance

251610

OptionVotes

YES

1050

952

Will India have a larger GDP than Japan in 2027?

Dec 9, 11:15 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

81.05%chance

311406

OptionVotes

YES

1491

843

Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026?

Oct 3, 2:38 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53.02%chance

23881

OptionVotes

YES

1121

834

Will India win a gold medal in the men's Twenty20 Cricket at the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles?

Aug 13, 5:21 AMSep 20, 2:29 PM

53.47%chance

11857

OptionVotes

YES

150

148

Will India become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:52 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

47.41%chance

15575

OptionVotes

YES

1053

949

WW3: India on US side?

Mar 28, 7:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

54.84%chance

19547

OptionVotes

YES

1119

874

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