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Prediction markets for India

What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

17280548

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

Will India settle their Kashmir conflict with Pakistan before January 1st 2035?

Nov 27, 5:20 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

31.47%chance

4323001

OptionVotes

YES

2772

1507

When will Canada's birth rate exceed India's birth rate?

Dec 9, 10:30 PMJan 14, 4:59 AM

610790

OptionProbability

2051-2075

2076-2100

2041-2050

2031-2040

After 2100

Never

2025-2030

Will Narendra Modi win a fourth term as leader of India?

Jun 10, 11:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.23%chance

539243

OptionVotes

YES

2147

1871

Will India surpass China in terms of GDP before 2050?

Nov 18, 8:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24%chance

516486

OptionVotes

YES

1588

682

Will India be a democracy in 2050?

Dec 23, 5:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.46%chance

252504

OptionVotes

YES

1432

767

Will Narendra Modi be Prime Minister of India after 2029 election?

Dec 17, 4:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.21%chance

251715

OptionVotes

YES

1449

480

Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India?

Jul 9, 9:59 PMJan 1, 5:51 PM

47.56%chance

251610

OptionVotes

YES

1050

952

Will India have a larger GDP than Japan in 2027?

Dec 9, 11:15 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

81.05%chance

311406

OptionVotes

YES

1491

843

Will India win a gold medal in the men's Twenty20 Cricket at the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles?

Aug 13, 5:21 AMSep 20, 2:29 PM

53.47%chance

11857

OptionVotes

YES

150

148

WW3: India on US side?

Mar 28, 7:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

54.84%chance

19547

OptionVotes

YES

1119

874

Will India become more authoritarian in 2026?

Apr 11, 4:52 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

43.77%chance

7258

OptionVotes

YES

1133

882

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6
10 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
China
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