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Prediction markets for China

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

May 24, 1:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.71%chance

1027576874

OptionVotes

YES

16813

13371

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Oct 5, 1:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.53%chance

586179117

OptionVotes

YES

7681

4791

US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?

Apr 7, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.49%chance

66105900

OptionVotes

YES

62572

1598

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Nov 12, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

67.98%chance

297100302

OptionVotes

YES

3025

928

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65%chance

9945279

OptionVotes

YES

1262

800

Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?

Sep 4, 8:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54%chance

11027319

OptionVotes

YES

1359

913

Will China ever surpass US gdp?

Sep 4, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.56%chance

8920495

OptionVotes

YES

1298

775

Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?

Jan 31, 4:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.06%chance

5015102

OptionVotes

YES

16060

6227

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.28%chance

247049

OptionVotes

YES

13556

7388

Will China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

46.37%chance

63105

OptionVotes

YES

10755

9298

Will China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

40.89%chance

43068

OptionVotes

YES

12024

8317

Will China's nominal GDP exceed the U.S.'s before 2040?

May 26, 1:54 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

54.93%chance

281290

OptionVotes

YES

1264

701

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