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Prediction markets for China

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

May 24, 1:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.19%chance

861470662

OptionVotes

YES

15727

12532

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Oct 5, 1:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.2%chance

486136554

OptionVotes

YES

2651

2244

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Nov 12, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

58.2%chance

26785991

OptionVotes

YES

2561

1198

US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?

Apr 7, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.15%chance

5776632

OptionVotes

YES

39050

2561

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50.67%chance

9243679

OptionVotes

YES

1050

916

Will Taiwan de facto be controlled by China before 2026 according to Western media?

Jan 28, 6:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.76%chance

2440407

OptionVotes

YES

36783

7377

China blockades Taiwan in 2025? (media reports)

Jan 14, 7:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.95%chance

5631608

OptionVotes

YES

22604

7167

Is China’s LVA Surgery a legitimate treatment for Alzheimer’s?

Nov 23, 6:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.37%chance

4429552

OptionVotes

YES

29403

3726

Will China have a commercial, domestically-built EUV machine by the end of 2026?

Jan 11, 9:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26%chance

298568

OptionVotes

YES

1091

457

Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Nov 8, 8:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.01%chance

515685

OptionVotes

YES

1362

734

In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?

Mar 25, 1:29 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

174409

Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Nov 8, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.02%chance

384335

OptionVotes

YES

2224

1817

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16 days ago
Jul 17, 2025
Jul 17, 2025
China
Economics
Sustainability
Third China International Supply Chain Expo Opens in Beijing July 16-20 With 651 Companies From 75 Countries
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