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Prediction markets for Mexico

If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?

Mar 9, 10:33 PMOct 31, 6:59 AM

9.5%chance

2126162

OptionVotes

YES

2938

518

Will Mexico still host all of the planned FIFA World Cup games this year?

Feb 25, 3:58 AMJul 20, 10:59 PM

92.95%chance

7016402

OptionVotes

YES

17913

9249

Will Claudia Sheinbaum remain president of Mexico through EoY 2026?

Jan 3, 8:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93.66%chance

139388

OptionVotes

YES

3948

401

US and Mexico engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029

Jan 4, 7:50 PMJan 21, 12:00 AM

12.52%chance

134737

OptionVotes

YES

2644

378

Will the US drone strike a suspected cartel operation in Mexico before 2029?

Mar 5, 3:32 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

59.92%chance

262516

OptionVotes

YES

1223

818

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

Apr 6, 6:59 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

27.79%chance

101547

OptionVotes

YES

1708

474

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026?

May 1, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.5%chance

91406

OptionVotes

YES

1618

365

Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028?

Dec 9, 11:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

14.57%chance

161180

OptionVotes

YES

1730

810

Will Mexico adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Jan 25, 8:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.29%chance

17663

OptionVotes

YES

973

928

If a Republican is elected POTUS in 2024, will the US send troops into Mexico before EOY 2028?

Aug 30, 8:50 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

16.94%chance

16562

OptionVotes

YES

1018

727

Will Mexico City get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?

Apr 19, 1:51 AMJan 1, 7:01 AM

20.58%chance

17309

OptionVotes

YES

1204

927

Will Claudia Sheinbaum publicly advocate for Solar Geoengineering during her term as president of Mexico?

Oct 22, 10:49 AMDec 2, 7:59 AM

56.25%chance

6134

OptionVotes

YES

1134

882

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10 months ago
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10 months ago
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10 months ago
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14
10 months ago
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10 months ago
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World
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9
10 months ago
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10 months ago
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6
10 months ago
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43
10 months ago
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10 months ago
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Aug 18, 2025
Mexico
Politics
World
Morena Secretary Andrés Manuel López Beltrán Spent 177,000 Pesos at Tokyo’s Okura Hotel, Including 47,000-Peso Sazanka Dinner
Authors
7
10 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Mexico
Economics
Business
Profeco Says Secondary-School Uniforms Cost 206–969 Pesos Nationwide
Authors
3
10 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Mexico
US Foreign Policy
US Domestic Policy
Trump Says U.S. States Must Follow Federal Government Directives, Claims Mexico Obeys U.S. Instructions
Authors
6
10 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Mexico
War
Politics
Pro-Palestinian Groups March in Mexico City from Ángel de la Independencia to Chamber of Deputies Demanding End to Israeli Offensive, Diplomatic Suspension, and Aid to Gaza
Authors
6
10 months ago

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